This is just some of the many hypothetical examples of why there is an advantage by trading football as opposed to just betting on it. One problem with football trading can be the time commitment required. If you were betting on a match you probably place your bets and walk away but by trading you might have to spend 90 minutes plus stoppage time to trade it. Also, by entering the match at the wrong time you might predict a match correctly but the rules of your method mean you lose the trade.
If you thought a match would finish Over 2. But the 3 goals might still arrive in the second half and in this case the trader will have predicted it correctly but still lost the trade whereas someone who had a bet would have had a winner in this scenario. So if you are planning to trade football then you should take all this into consideration. Both approaches can be profitable if you have an edge on the markets. Do not mix and match them as you will end up with mediocre results. So now you understand the basics of football trading , lets take a look at the different markets that are available to trade.
There are so many markets available but you might be surprised to find there are only a few that are really worth trading. The Match Odds market is the most popular and the most liquid market on any football match. On this one you are wagering on the match finishing either Over 2.
The Correct Score market is the market you use to predict the final score of the match but this can be traded to good effect also. You get some pretty generous prices on the Correct Score of a match and this can make it quite a lucrative market to trade. Albeit, quite a complicated market for a novice. The above markets are the most liquid and it is suggested you should stick with them. But there are other markets worth looking at which can sometimes be liquid enough to trade. Now that you understand the basics of football trading, I am now going to show you FOUR of the most popular ways to trade football on the betting exchanges.
So trading pre-match or sometimes referred to pre-event would involve taking a position some time before the match actually kicks off. This could be as soon as the market opens usually a week before the match is due to kick off but most likely this will be in the days before kick off with most action happening on the day.
The earlier you get in the market the bigger the price moves you can expect with the price moves on the day of the event often being quite small around ticks on average depending on the market. I used to do a lot of trading pre-match myself but I noticed this trend also and it became less worth the time and effort when compared to in-play trading.
That is not to say that pre-match football trading is dead. But you will need a big bank and at least 4 figure stakes to make any worthwhile money from the markets.
This is due to the markets finding it harder to price up teams who do not play against each other often. So if you are interested in trading pre-match you might have the best experience doing it on cup matches where the price moves can be bigger. Since nobody was sure if Liverpool would put out a strong team or not the price move was quite a large one for a pre-match move when it was finally confirmed Liverpool would put out a weak team. However, those who trade football pre-match for a living are much more likely to use bigger stakes than that though in order to lock in a more worthwhile profit.
Team news and a key player being absent or surprisingly included still has the biggest impact on the pre-match markets but it is not as easy as it used to be.
Simply backing Man Utd when the team news was announced could have rewarded you with an easy profit as they moved from 1. This is when it was much easier to trade football pre-match and these days with so much focus on football via social media and more bigger fish involved the markets are not as easily surprised. You will often see the prices moving well before they are actually announced which suggests those with inside information are the ones profiting the most. Futures football trading is more long term and often involves markets such as the Premier League winners market, Champions League winner and similar.
The main principle behind trading this market would be to take an early position backing a team when the competition is in its infancy with a view to laying them at a lower price as the competition progresses. These are often considered futures markets since they can take place over a whole season. A football trader could have backed Liverpool at odds of around 16 early in the season and they could have traded out when Liverpool reached the final at odds of around 2. The tricky part with trading futures markets such as this is when to stick and when to twist on your trade.
You further acknowledge that we may change the Content or technical specifications of any aspect of Betpractice at any time at our sole discretion. If you want to limit your risk even further, you could also back other exact score draw results, however, this will surely diminish your profit in the long run. We do not permit you to share your user name and password with any other person nor with multiple users on a network. Paulo Rebello — He is another notable football trading professional who kept a blog documenting all of his regular trades several seasons ago. You must be patient and disciplined enough wait for opportunities to outsmart the market. By Rating. Football Trader Different types of matches Here are details of the different games you will encounter.
Futures football trading is probably one of the most underrated ways to trade football and many novices initially overlook this market when starting out with football trading. This means that a football trader will be getting involved when the match actually begins and for them to make a profitable trade they will need to be in the market when a goal is scored. There are more details about this in the strategies section but popular ways to trade football in-play can involve the lay the draw strategy and backing Over 2.
You will also find most of the liquidity during a football match enter the market once it is in-play. This is important to keep in mind since if you want to be able to scale up a strategy you need the markets to be liquid and able to handle whichever stakes you want to use. The top traders can often trade Premier League matches with 5 figure stakes but they would struggle to replicate that trading something like League 2.
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The opposite to goal positive football trading is as you guessed goal negative football trading which means that the football traders needs to be in the market when there are NO goals in order to profit. This approach lends itself well to scalping or swing trading on the Under 2. More advanced ways to trade this way can also be on the Correct Score market and even Match Odds.
There is more detail about this approach in the strategies section which we will move on to now.
So by now you have a pretty good idea of how to trade football and the different markets you can trade upon. Now it is time to formulate a strategy and I am going to show you some of the most popular proven strategies and ones that are perfect for beginners to dip into. Probably the most simple and maybe the most underrated strategy for trading football is simply backing the favourite. With this strategy you would do exactly as said on the tin and back the favourite when you feel they are dominant and likely to take the lead in the match. You would then be able to cash out for a profit once their odds drop after they take the lead.
In this match we saw that Chelsea were dominating Burnley and looked likely to take the lead. So we backed them with GBP 1. In the 23rd minute, Chelsea took the lead and their price moved into 1.
However, if you have a good eye for reading the match in-play and you can spot when a team is dominant and likely to score the next goal then this strategy can be one that produces excellent profits. The risk with this strategy is that the favourite does not score or the underdog manages to score the first goal. These are all risks that can be mitigated with careful match selection.
You will see in the video how I select the matches based on the in play action and how I choose the entry and exit points. Be sure to watch all the way through as this is an excellent beginners strategy to start experimenting with. The Lay the draw strategy is one of the most popular football trading methods and is used by beginners and professionals alike. The principle behind this method is that if you lay the draw when the match is currently a draw you can benefit from a big price jump when a goal is scored. For example, if you were to lay the draw 3.
The main advantage of laying the draw over backing the favourite is that it often does not matter who scores the goal and depending on the price you entered the market at you could make a profit either way. Here in this match between Newcastle and Burnley we have done a lay on the draw 2. In the 66th minute, Newcastle score to lead The price on Newcastle shortens which causes the price on the draw and on Burnley to rise.
The draw price has moved from 2. Many argue you are effectively just backing for one more goal to be scored and so backing Over 0. My thoughts is that like any strategy much depends on having careful match selection and optimizing your selection process over time. Also, with Lay the draw your entry point is key. In this video I show you the best time to get involved with this method in order to make the biggest profits. The Under 2. However, liquidity is often best on the 2.
With swing trading you would take a position by backing Under 2. Which price you back at and how many ticks you aim for is totally up to you and your attitude to risk.